Monday, February 29, 2016

Academy Awards, 2015



















Prediction Results:  14/21 (67%);  20/21 (95%, if including dark horse)

And the nominees are:

BEST PICTURE

'The Big Short'
'Brooklyn'
'Bridge of Spies'
'Mad Max: Fury Road'
'The Martian'
'The Revenant'
'Room'
'Spotlight' - winner!

Will Win:  'Spotlight'

Dark Horse:  'The Big Short'
Should Win:  'Spotlight'
Should Have Been Here: 'Carol' and 'Inside Out'

BEST DIRECTOR

Adam McKay ('The Big Short')
George Miller ('Mad Max: Fury Road')
Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu ('The Revenant') - winner!
Lenny Abrahamson ('Room')
Tom McCarthy ('Spotlight')

Will Win:  George Miller

Dark Horse:  Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu
Should Win:  George Miller 
Should Have Been Here:  Ridley Scott ('The Martian') and Todd Haynes ('Carol') over Lenny Abrahamson and Adam McKay

BEST LEADING ACTOR

Bryan Cranston ('Trumbo')
Matt Damon ('The Martian')
Leonardo DiCaprio ('The Revenant') - winner!
Michael Fassbender ('Steve Jobs')
Eddie Redmayne ('The Danish Girl')

Will Win:  Leonardo DiCaprio

Dark Horse:  Michael Fassbender
Should Win:  Leonardo DiCaprio
Should Have Been Here: Michael B. Jordan ('Creed') or Johnny Depp ('Black Mass') or Ian McKellen ('Mr. Holmes') over Matt Damon 

BEST LEADING ACTRESS

Cate Blanchett ('Carol')
Brie Larson ('Room') - winner!
Jennifer Lawrence ('Joy')
Charlotte Rampling ('45 Years')
Saoirse Ronan ('Brooklyn')

Will Win:  Brie Larson

Dark Horse:  Saoirse Ronan
Should Win:  Saoirse Ronan
Should Have Been Here:  -

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Christian Bale ('The Big Short')
Tom Hardy ('The Revenant')
Mark Ruffalo ('Spotlight')
Mark Rylance ('Bridge of Spies') - winner!
Sylvester Stallone ('Creed')

Will Win:  Sylvester Stallone

Dark Horse:  Mark Rylance
Should Win:  Mark Ruffalo
Should Have Been Here:  Idris Elba ('Beasts of No Nation') or Michael Keaton ('Spotlight') over Christian Bale ('The Big Short')

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Jennifer Jason Leigh ('The Hateful Eight')
Rooney Mara ('Carol')
Rachel McAdams ('Spotlight')
Alicia Vikander ('The Danish Girl') - winner!
Kate Winslet ('Steve Jobs')

Will Win:  Kate Winslet

Dark Horse:  Alicia Vikander
Should Win:  Rooney Mara
Should Have Been Here:  -

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

'Bridge of Spies'
'Ex Machina'
'Inside Out'
'Spotlight' - winner!
'Straight Outta Compton'

Will Win:  'Spotlight'

Dark Horse:  'Inside Out'
Should Win:  'Spotlight'
Should Have Been Here:  'The Hateful Eight' over 'Bridge of Spies'

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

'The Big Short' - winner!
'Brooklyn'
'Carol'
'The Martian'
'Room'

Will Win:  'The Big Short'

Dark Horse:  'Room'
Should Win:  'Carol'
Should Have Been Here:  'Steve Jobs' over 'The Martian'

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

'Carol' - Edward Lachman
'The Hateful Eight' - Robert Richardson
'Mad Max: Fury Road' - John Seale
'The Revenant' - Emmanuel Lubezki - winner!
'Sicario' - Roger Deakins

Will Win:  'The Revenant'

Dark Horse:  'Carol'
Should Win:  'The Revenant'
Should Have Been Here:  -

BEST FILM EDITING

'The Big Short'
'Mad Max: Fury Road' - winner!
'The Revenant'
'Spotlight'
'Star Wars: Episode VII - The Force Awakens'

Will Win:  'Mad Max: Fury Road'

Dark Horse:  'The Big Short'
Should Win:  'Mad Max: Fury Road'
Should Have Been Here:  -

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

'Bridge of Spies'
'The Danish Girl'
'Mad Max: Fury Road' - winner!
'The Martian'
'The Revenant'

Will Win:  'Mad Max: Fury Road'

Dark Horse:  'The Revenant'
Should Win:  'Mad Max: Fury Road'
Should Have Been Here:  'Carol' over 'The Danish Girl'

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

'Carol'
'Cinderella'
;The Danish Girl'
'Mad Max: Fury Road' - winner!
'The Revenant'

Will Win:  'Mad Max: Fury Road'

Dark Horse:  'Cinderella'
Should Win:  'Mad Max: Fury Road'
Should Have Been Here: -

BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING

'The 100-Year-Old Man Who Climbed Out the Window and Disappeared'
'Mad Max: Fury Road' - winner!
'The Revenant'

Will Win:  'Mad Max: Fury Road'

Dark Horse:  'The Revenant'
Should Win:  'Mad Max: Fury Road'
Should Have Been Here:  -

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

'Bridge of Spies' - Thomas Newman
'Carol' - Carter Burwell
'The Hateful Eight' - Ennio Morricone - winner!
'Sicario' - Johann Johannsson
'Star Wars: Episode VII - The Force Awakens' - John Williams

Will Win:  'The Hateful Eight'

Dark Horse:  'Star Wars: Episode VII - The Force Awakens'
Should Win:  'Carol'
Should Have Been Here: 'The Revenant' (Ryuichi Sakamoto & Alva Noto) and 'Spotlight' (Howard Shore) over 'Bridge of Spies' and 'Star Wars: Episode VII - The Force Awakens'

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

"Earned It" - 'Fifty Shades of Grey'
"Til It Happens to You" - 'The Hunting Ground'
"Manta Ray" - 'Racing Extinction'
"Writing's On the Wall" - 'Spectre' - winner!
"Simple Song #3" - 'David Lang'

Will Win:  "Til It Happens to You"

Dark Horse:  "Writing's On the Wall"
Should Win:  "Til It Happens to You"
Should Have Been Here:  "See You Again" - 'Furious 7' over "Earned It" - 'Fifty Shades of Grey'

BEST SOUND MIXING

'Bridge of Spies'
'Mad Max: Fury Road' - winner!
'The Martian'
'The Revenant'
'Star Wars: Episode VII - The Force Awakens'

Will Win:  'The Revenant'

Dark Horse:  'Mad Max: Fury Road'
Should Win:  'The Revenant'
Should Have Been Here:  'The Hateful Eight' over 'Bridge of Spies'

BEST SOUND EDITING

'Mad Max: Fury Road' - winner!
'The Martian'
'The Revenant'
'Sicario'
'Star Wars: Episode VII - The Force Awakens'

Will Win:  'The Revenant'

Dark Horse:  'Mad Max: Fury Road'
Should Win:  'The Revenant'
Should Have Been Here:  -

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

'Ex Machina' - winner!
'Mad Max: Fury Road'
'The Martian'
'The Revenant'
'Star Wars: Episode VII - The Force Awakens'

Will Win:  'Star Wars: Episode VII - The Force Awakens'

Dark Horse:  'The Revenant'
Should Win:  'Star Wars: Episode VII - The Force Awakens'
Should Have Been Here:  'The Walk' over 'Ex Machina' or 'The Revenant'

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

'Anomalisa'
'Boy & the World'
'Inside Out' - winner!
'Shaun the Sheep Movie'
'When Marnie Was There'

Will Win:  'Inside Out'

Dark Horse:  'Boy & the World'
Should Win:  'Inside Out'
Should Have Been Here:  -

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FEATURE

'Embrace of the Serpent' (Colombia)
'A War' (Denmark)
'Mustang' (France/Turkey)
'Son of Saul' (Hungary) - winner!
'Theeb' (Jordan)

Will Win:  'Son of Saul'

Dark Horse:  'Mustang'
Should Win:  'Son of Saul'
Should Have Been Here:  'The Assassin' (Taiwan) or 'Taxi Tehran' (Iran) 

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

'Amy' - winner!
'Cartel Land'
'The Look of Silence'
'What Happened, Miss Simone?'
'Winter on Fire: Ukraine's Fight for Freedom'

Will Win:  'Amy'

Dark Horse:  'Cartel Land'
Should Win:  'The Look of Silence'
Should Have Been Here: -

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