Cinema Matters #12: My Golden Globe Predictions

December 2014

I believe cinema matters.  This is a continuing monthly series of personal thoughts on film in no more than 750 words.  From 2015, this series will be published bi-monthly in no more than 1,500 words.

As per tradition, I will be predicting the Golden Globes results.  Based on past predictions, I tend to do quite badly with the Golden Globes.  But it is fun.


Prediction Results:  7/14 =  50%; 11/14 = 79% (including dark horses) 

The nominees are:

BEST MOTION PICTURE – DRAMA
“Boyhood” winner!
“Foxcatcher”
“The Imitation Game”
“Selma”
“The Theory of Everything”

Will Win:  “Boyhood”
Dark Horse:  “Selma"
Should Win:  “Boyhood”

BEST MOTION PICTURE – COMEDY OR MUSICAL
“Birdman”
“The Grand Budapest Hotel” winner!
“Into the Woods”
“Pride”
“St. Vincent”

Will Win:  “Birdman”
Dark Horse:  “The Grand Budapest Hotel”
Should Win:  “Birdman”


BEST DIRECTOR
Wes Anderson “The Grand Budapest Hotel”
Ava Duvernay “Selma”
David Fincher “Gone Girl”
Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu “Birdman”
Richard Linklater “Boyhood” winner!

Will Win:  Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu
Dark Horse:  Richard Linklater
Should Win:  Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu

BEST ACTOR – DRAMA
Steve Carell “Foxcatcher”
Benedict Cumberbatch “The Imitation Game”
Jake Gyllenhaal “Nightcrawler”
David Oyelowo “Selma”
Eddie Redmayne “The Theory of Everything” winner!

Will Win:  Eddie Redmayne
Dark Horse:  David Oyelowo
Should Win:  Eddie Redmayne


BEST ACTRESS – DRAMA
Jennifer Aniston “Cake”
Felicity Jones “The Theory of Everything”
Julianne Moore “Still Alice” winner!
Rosamund Pike “Gone Girl”
Reese Witherspoon “Wild”

Will Win:  Julianne Moore
Dark Horse:  Rosamund Pike
Should Win:  Julianne Moore

BEST ACTOR – COMEDY OR MUSICAL
Ralph Fiennes “The Grand Budapest Hotel”
Michael Keaton “Birdman” winner!
Bill Murray “St. Vincent”
Joaquin Phoenix “Inherent Vice”
Christoph Waltz “Big Eyes”

Will Win:  Michael Keaton
Dark Horse:  Joaquin Phoenix
Should Win:  Michael Keaton


BEST ACTRESS – COMEDY OR MUSICAL
Amy Adams “Big Eyes” winner!
Emily Blunt “Into the Woods”
Helen Mirren “The Hundred-Foot Journey”
Julianne Moore “Maps to the Stars”
Quvenzhane Wallis “Annie”

Will Win:  Emily Blunt
Dark Horse:  Amy Adams
Should Win:  Julianne Moore

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Robert Duvall “The Judge”
Ethan Hawke “Boyhood”
Edward Norton “Birdman”
Mark Ruffalo “Foxcatcher”
J.K. Simmons “Whiplash” winner!

Will Win:  J.K. Simmons
Dark Horse:  Mark Ruffalo
Should Win:  J.K. Simmons


BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Patricia Arquette “Boyhood” winner!
Jessica Chastain “A Most Violent Year”
Keira Knightley “The Imitation Game”
Emma Stone “Birdman”
Meryl Streep “Into the Woods”

Will Win:  Patricia Arquette
Dark Horse:  Keira Knightley
Should Win:  Patricia Arquette

BEST SCREENPLAY
Wes Anderson “The Grand Budapest Hotel”
Gillian Flynn “Gone Girl”
Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu et. al. “Birdman” winner!
Richard Linklater “Boyhood”
Graham Moore “The Imitation Game”

Will Win:  “The Grand Budapest Hotel"
Dark Horse:  “Boyhood”
Should Win:  “Boyhood”



BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Alexandre Desplat “The Imitation Game”
Johann Johannsson “The Theory of Everything” winner!
Trent Reznor & Atticus Ross “Gone Girl”
Antonio Sanchez “Birdman”
Hans Zimmer “Interstellar”

Will Win:  “Birdman”
Dark Horse:  “Interstellar”
Should Win:  “Birdman”

BEST ORIGINAL SONG
Big Eyes “Big Eyes”
Glory “Selma” winner!
Mercy Is “Noah”
Opportunity “Annie”
Yellow Flicker Beat “The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Part 1”

Will Win:  "Selma"
Dark Horse:  "Big Eyes"
Should Win:  "Selma"


BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
“Big Hero 6”
“The Book of Life”
“The Boxtrolls”
“How to Train Your Dragon 2” winner!
“The Lego Movie”

Will Win:  “The Lego Movie”
Dark Horse:  “The Book of Life”
Should Win:  “The Lego Movie”

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FEATURE
“Force Majeure” (Sweden)
“Gett: The Trial of Viviane Amsalem” (Israel)
“Ida” (Poland / Denmark)
“Leviathan” (Russia) winner!
“Tangerines” (Estonia)

Will Win:  “Ida”
Dark Horse:  “Leviathan”
Should Win:  “Leviathan”

[For more articles, please visit http://filmnomenon.blogspot.sg/p/articles.html]






Comments

Julian Toh said…
Haha I think your predictions are pretty legit! Your actors/actresses predictions have a fantastic track record so I think you're being very humble here... You really understand the mentality of critics!

The pre-awards critic consensus over films like Birdman and Boyhood has very much decided which way the awards will swing.

I tend to be deviant so I cannot say I always agree haha! For example, I see that Boyhood seems to have 2 different camps of opinion. One congratulates on Linklater's greatest cinematic achievement thus far and the other condemns the heralding of Boyhood's labourious and floppy narrative. I must say I am more inclined to the latter... because I personally feel (very biased) that film is a visual story-telling device and hence the narrative is a core component of a film's artistic value. The idea is novel but it seems to be squandered. I remember being very excited at the start; the performances were strong, and the drama was engaging. Then somewhere in the middle (right when Lorelei Linklater blossomed into a less petulant brat) I felt the film went downhill. The acting seemed contrived, ironically, for a film that attempts to portray "life as is". But that's just me, and certainly not most of the critics sitting on that panel...

Hope you break your record for this round's prediction!
Eternality Tan said…
Ha, it might follow the pattern of last year's Best Picture and Best Director winners - Best Picture for an earnest, honest film, Best Director for a flashy, technical film.

Popular Posts