Monday, January 9, 2017

Golden Globes, 2016

As per tradition, here are my predictions for the Golden Globes for 2016's pictures (held in 2017).





















And the nominees are:

Prediction Results:  10/14 = 71% / 11/14 = 79% (if including dark horses)

Best Motion Picture (Drama)
'Hacksaw Ridge'
'Hell or High Water'
'Lion'
'Manchester by the Sea'
'Moonlight' - WINNER!

Will Win:  'Moonlight'
Dark Horse:  'Manchester by the Sea'

Satisfying win because it is a win that means more than just Best Picture.  It will surely be in the thick of the Oscar race, and looks like it has the edge over ‘Manchester by the Sea’.  Though it might just proved to be too difficult to overcome the ‘La La Land’ juggernaut.  

Best Motion Picture (Musical/Comedy)
'20th Century Women'
'Deadpool'
'Florence Foster Jenkins'
'La La Land' - WINNER!
'Sing Street'

Will Win:  'La La Land'
Dark Horse:  'Florence Foster Jenkins'

Would have been an absolute shocker if any other film got it, after its singular momentum of the night.

Best Director
Damien Chazelle / 'La La Land' - WINNER!
Tom Ford / 'Nocturnal Animals'
Mel Gibson / 'Hacksaw Ridge'
Barry Jenkins / 'Moonlight'
Kenneth Lonergan / 'Manchester by the Sea'

Will Win:  Damien Chazelle
Dark Horse:  Barry Jenkins

Good win for a young, promising lad, in what is a three-horse race (see Best Screenplay).  If the ‘La La Land’ traction continues to sustain all the way up to the Oscars, Chazelle could bag the same category again.

Best Leading Actor (Drama)
Casey Affleck / 'Manchester by the Sea' - WINNER!
Joel Edgerton / 'Loving'
Andrew Garfield / 'Hacksaw Ridge'
Viggo Mortensen / 'Captain Fantastic'
Denzel Washington / 'Fences'

Will Win:  Casey Affleck
Dark Horse:  Denzel Washington 

One of the year’s most-raved performances, now getting the deserving award.  He will be the one to beat in the Oscars race.  But don’t discount Denzel Washington (‘Fences’).

Best Leading Actress (Drama)
Amy Adams / 'Arrival'
Jessica Chastain / 'Miss Sloane'
Ruth Negga / 'Loving'
Natalie Portman / 'Jackie'
Isabelle Huppert / 'Elle' - WINNER!

Will Win:  Natalie Portman
Dark Horse:  Isabelle Huppert

A surprise, but could have seen it coming with the Best Foreign Language Feature win for ‘Elle’.  Her performance has been in the spotlight for months now, and I think she might have the momentum to pull off an Oscar nomination.  And if so, will be an exciting three-horse race between her, Emma Stone (‘La La Land’) and Natalie Portman (‘Jackie’)

Best Leading Actor (Musical/Comedy)
Colin Farrell / 'The Lobster'
Ryan Gosling / 'La La Land' - WINNER!
Hugh Grant / 'Florence Foster Jenkins'
Jonah Hill / 'War Dogs'
Ryan Reynolds / 'Deadpool'

Will Win:  Ryan Gosling
Dark Horse:  Colin Farrell

A firm favourite, though it wasn’t a truly fantastic performance--Emma Stone set the bar too high, but certainly no one will be up in arms over this win.  It will be interesting to see if Gosling will even land an Oscar nomination with a number of dramatic performances higher up in queue.

Best Leading Actress (Musical/Comedy)
Annette Bening / '20th Century Women'
Lily Collins / 'Rules Don't Apply'
Hailee Steinfeld / 'The Edge of Seventeen'
Emma Stone / 'La La Land' - WINNER!
Meryl Streep / 'Florence Foster Jenkins'

Will Win:  Emma Stone
Dark Horse:  Annette Bening

Great to see her win -- certainly one of the best and purely enjoyable performances of the year.  Surely a lock for an Oscar nomination, and will certainly battle Natalie Portman till the last lap.

Best Supporting Actor
Mahershala Ali / 'Moonlight'
Jeff Bridges / 'Hell or High Water'
Simon Helberg / 'Florence Foster Jenkins'
Dev Patel / 'Lion'
Aaron Taylor-Johnson / 'Nocturnal Animals' - WINNER!

Will Win:  Mahershala Ali
Dark Horse:  Jeff Bridges

Certainly a good performance worth a nomination, but at the expense of strong frontrunner Mahershala Ali (‘Moonlight’) makes this a shocker in context.  Ali may find his one firm hand on the Oscar slipping by a few fingers. 

Best Supporting Actress
Viola Davis / 'Fences' - WINNER!
Naomie Harris / 'Moonlight'
Nicole Kidman / 'Lion'
Octavia Spencer / 'Hidden Figures'
Michelle Williams / 'Manchester by the Sea'

Will Win:  Viola Davis
Dark Horse:  Michelle Williams

Expected win, though I suspect it was a close fight with Michelle Williams (‘Manchester by the Sea’).  Expect the race to be even closer at the Oscars, with neither having won before.  And they are two fine actresses whose time has come.

Best Screenplay
'Hell or High Water' / Taylor Sheridan
'La La Land' / Damien Chazelle - WINNER!
'Manchester by the Sea' / Kenneth Lonergan
'Moonlight' / Barry Jenkins
'Nocturnal Animals' / Tom Ford

Will Win:  'Manchester by the Sea'
Dark Horse:  'Moonlight'

Didn’t predict this correctly, but certainly not an upset.  It was a three-horse race between ‘La La Land’, ‘Moonlight’ and ‘Manchester by the Sea’.  Will be interesting to see how the Oscars will play out with both Original and Adapted Screenplay categories.

Best Original Score
'Arrival' / Johann Johannsson
'Hidden Figures' / Hans Zimmer, Pharrell Williams & Benjamin Wallfisch
'La La Land' / Justin Hurwitz - WINNER!
'Lion' / Dustin O'Halloran & Volker Bertelmann
'Moonlight' / Nicholas Britell

Will Win:  'La La Land'
Dark Horse:  'Arrival'

My favourite score of the year is Johann Johannsson’s work for ‘Arrival’, but this is no surprise, and deserves its win.  Will win the Oscar too.

Best Original Song
"Gold" / 'Gold'
"City of Stars" / 'La La Land' - WINNER!
"How Far I'll Go" / 'Moana'
"Faith" / 'Sing'
"Can't Stop the Feeling" / 'Trolls'

Will Win:  "City of Stars"
Dark Horse:  "How Far I'll Go"

Not a surprise too, and likely to win the Oscar.  If two songs from ‘La La Land’ were to be nominated for the Oscars, a split vote might cause another song from another movie to spring an upset, probably the theme song from ‘Moana’.

Best Animated Feature
'Kubo and the Two Strings'
'Moana'
'My Life as a Zucchini'
'Sing'
'Zootopia' - WINNER!

Will Win:  'Zootopia'
Dark Horse:  'Kubo and the Two Strings'

Would have loved for ‘Kubo and the Two Strings’ to spring a minor surprise.  With this win, ‘Zootopia’ can safely put one hand on the Oscar.  But don’t discount a late upswing of support for ‘Kubo’ or ‘Moana’.

Best Foreign Language Feature
'Divines' / France
'Elle' / France - WINNER!
'Neruda' / Chile
'The Salesman' / Iran
'Toni Erdmann' / Germany

Will Win:  'Toni Erdmann'
Dark Horse:  'The Salesman'

Did not expect this, was rooting for Maren Ade to get it for ‘Toni Erdmann’.  Looks like her film isn’t quite the sure lock for the Oscar now.

Saturday, March 26, 2016

My Definitive Cut, 2015

It's that time of year in which a Top 10 Favourite Films list is overdue.  














There are 21 nominees in the year of 2015 (in alphanumeric order):
7 LETTERS (Various)
AFERIM! (Radu Jude)
ASSASSIN, THE (Hou Hsiao-Hsien)
AVENGERS: AGE OF ULTRON (Joss Whedon)
CAROL (Todd Haynes)
DHEEPAN (Jacques Audiard)
EX MACHINA (Alex Garland)
HATEFUL EIGHT, THE (Quentin Tarantino)
INSIDE OUT (Pete Docter & Ronnie Del Carmen)
KINGSMAN: THE SECRET SERVICE (Matthew Vaughn)
MAD MAX: FURY ROAD (George Miller)
MARTIAN, THE (Ridley Scott)
MOUNTAINS MAY DEPART (Jia Zhangke)
MUSTANG (Deniz Gamze Erguven) 
REVENANT, THE (Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu)
SHAUN THE SHEEP MOVIE (Mark Burton & Richard Starzak)
SON OF SAUL (Laszlo Nemes)
SONGS WE SANG, THE (Eva Tang)
SPOTLIGHT (Tom McCarthy)
STAR WARS: EPISODE VII - THE FORCE AWAKENS (J.J. Abrams)
TAXI TEHRAN (Jafar Panahi)

My Favourite 10 Films of 2015

1.    SON OF SAUL
2.    MAD MAX: FURY ROAD
3.    CAROL
4.    EX MACHINA
5.    INSIDE OUT
6.    SPOTLIGHT
7.    THE ASSASSIN
8.    THE REVENANT
9.    7 LETTERS
10.  MOUNTAINS MAY DEPART

Honourable Mention

11.  TAXI TEHRAN
12.  THE HATEFUL EIGHT

My Favourite 5 Directors of 2015

1.    George Miller (MAD MAX: FURY ROAD)
2.    Todd Haynes (CAROL)
3.    Hou Hsiao-Hsien (THE ASSASSIN)
4.    Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu (THE REVENANT)
5.    Laszlo Nemes (SON OF SAUL)

Honourable Mention

6.    Jafar Panahi (TAXI TEHRAN)






Monday, February 29, 2016

Academy Awards, 2015



















Prediction Results:  14/21 (67%);  20/21 (95%, if including dark horse)

And the nominees are:

BEST PICTURE

'The Big Short'
'Brooklyn'
'Bridge of Spies'
'Mad Max: Fury Road'
'The Martian'
'The Revenant'
'Room'
'Spotlight' - winner!

Will Win:  'Spotlight'

Dark Horse:  'The Big Short'
Should Win:  'Spotlight'
Should Have Been Here: 'Carol' and 'Inside Out'

BEST DIRECTOR

Adam McKay ('The Big Short')
George Miller ('Mad Max: Fury Road')
Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu ('The Revenant') - winner!
Lenny Abrahamson ('Room')
Tom McCarthy ('Spotlight')

Will Win:  George Miller

Dark Horse:  Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu
Should Win:  George Miller 
Should Have Been Here:  Ridley Scott ('The Martian') and Todd Haynes ('Carol') over Lenny Abrahamson and Adam McKay

BEST LEADING ACTOR

Bryan Cranston ('Trumbo')
Matt Damon ('The Martian')
Leonardo DiCaprio ('The Revenant') - winner!
Michael Fassbender ('Steve Jobs')
Eddie Redmayne ('The Danish Girl')

Will Win:  Leonardo DiCaprio

Dark Horse:  Michael Fassbender
Should Win:  Leonardo DiCaprio
Should Have Been Here: Michael B. Jordan ('Creed') or Johnny Depp ('Black Mass') or Ian McKellen ('Mr. Holmes') over Matt Damon 

BEST LEADING ACTRESS

Cate Blanchett ('Carol')
Brie Larson ('Room') - winner!
Jennifer Lawrence ('Joy')
Charlotte Rampling ('45 Years')
Saoirse Ronan ('Brooklyn')

Will Win:  Brie Larson

Dark Horse:  Saoirse Ronan
Should Win:  Saoirse Ronan
Should Have Been Here:  -

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Christian Bale ('The Big Short')
Tom Hardy ('The Revenant')
Mark Ruffalo ('Spotlight')
Mark Rylance ('Bridge of Spies') - winner!
Sylvester Stallone ('Creed')

Will Win:  Sylvester Stallone

Dark Horse:  Mark Rylance
Should Win:  Mark Ruffalo
Should Have Been Here:  Idris Elba ('Beasts of No Nation') or Michael Keaton ('Spotlight') over Christian Bale ('The Big Short')

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Jennifer Jason Leigh ('The Hateful Eight')
Rooney Mara ('Carol')
Rachel McAdams ('Spotlight')
Alicia Vikander ('The Danish Girl') - winner!
Kate Winslet ('Steve Jobs')

Will Win:  Kate Winslet

Dark Horse:  Alicia Vikander
Should Win:  Rooney Mara
Should Have Been Here:  -

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

'Bridge of Spies'
'Ex Machina'
'Inside Out'
'Spotlight' - winner!
'Straight Outta Compton'

Will Win:  'Spotlight'

Dark Horse:  'Inside Out'
Should Win:  'Spotlight'
Should Have Been Here:  'The Hateful Eight' over 'Bridge of Spies'

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

'The Big Short' - winner!
'Brooklyn'
'Carol'
'The Martian'
'Room'

Will Win:  'The Big Short'

Dark Horse:  'Room'
Should Win:  'Carol'
Should Have Been Here:  'Steve Jobs' over 'The Martian'

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

'Carol' - Edward Lachman
'The Hateful Eight' - Robert Richardson
'Mad Max: Fury Road' - John Seale
'The Revenant' - Emmanuel Lubezki - winner!
'Sicario' - Roger Deakins

Will Win:  'The Revenant'

Dark Horse:  'Carol'
Should Win:  'The Revenant'
Should Have Been Here:  -

BEST FILM EDITING

'The Big Short'
'Mad Max: Fury Road' - winner!
'The Revenant'
'Spotlight'
'Star Wars: Episode VII - The Force Awakens'

Will Win:  'Mad Max: Fury Road'

Dark Horse:  'The Big Short'
Should Win:  'Mad Max: Fury Road'
Should Have Been Here:  -

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

'Bridge of Spies'
'The Danish Girl'
'Mad Max: Fury Road' - winner!
'The Martian'
'The Revenant'

Will Win:  'Mad Max: Fury Road'

Dark Horse:  'The Revenant'
Should Win:  'Mad Max: Fury Road'
Should Have Been Here:  'Carol' over 'The Danish Girl'

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

'Carol'
'Cinderella'
;The Danish Girl'
'Mad Max: Fury Road' - winner!
'The Revenant'

Will Win:  'Mad Max: Fury Road'

Dark Horse:  'Cinderella'
Should Win:  'Mad Max: Fury Road'
Should Have Been Here: -

BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING

'The 100-Year-Old Man Who Climbed Out the Window and Disappeared'
'Mad Max: Fury Road' - winner!
'The Revenant'

Will Win:  'Mad Max: Fury Road'

Dark Horse:  'The Revenant'
Should Win:  'Mad Max: Fury Road'
Should Have Been Here:  -

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

'Bridge of Spies' - Thomas Newman
'Carol' - Carter Burwell
'The Hateful Eight' - Ennio Morricone - winner!
'Sicario' - Johann Johannsson
'Star Wars: Episode VII - The Force Awakens' - John Williams

Will Win:  'The Hateful Eight'

Dark Horse:  'Star Wars: Episode VII - The Force Awakens'
Should Win:  'Carol'
Should Have Been Here: 'The Revenant' (Ryuichi Sakamoto & Alva Noto) and 'Spotlight' (Howard Shore) over 'Bridge of Spies' and 'Star Wars: Episode VII - The Force Awakens'

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

"Earned It" - 'Fifty Shades of Grey'
"Til It Happens to You" - 'The Hunting Ground'
"Manta Ray" - 'Racing Extinction'
"Writing's On the Wall" - 'Spectre' - winner!
"Simple Song #3" - 'David Lang'

Will Win:  "Til It Happens to You"

Dark Horse:  "Writing's On the Wall"
Should Win:  "Til It Happens to You"
Should Have Been Here:  "See You Again" - 'Furious 7' over "Earned It" - 'Fifty Shades of Grey'

BEST SOUND MIXING

'Bridge of Spies'
'Mad Max: Fury Road' - winner!
'The Martian'
'The Revenant'
'Star Wars: Episode VII - The Force Awakens'

Will Win:  'The Revenant'

Dark Horse:  'Mad Max: Fury Road'
Should Win:  'The Revenant'
Should Have Been Here:  'The Hateful Eight' over 'Bridge of Spies'

BEST SOUND EDITING

'Mad Max: Fury Road' - winner!
'The Martian'
'The Revenant'
'Sicario'
'Star Wars: Episode VII - The Force Awakens'

Will Win:  'The Revenant'

Dark Horse:  'Mad Max: Fury Road'
Should Win:  'The Revenant'
Should Have Been Here:  -

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

'Ex Machina' - winner!
'Mad Max: Fury Road'
'The Martian'
'The Revenant'
'Star Wars: Episode VII - The Force Awakens'

Will Win:  'Star Wars: Episode VII - The Force Awakens'

Dark Horse:  'The Revenant'
Should Win:  'Star Wars: Episode VII - The Force Awakens'
Should Have Been Here:  'The Walk' over 'Ex Machina' or 'The Revenant'

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

'Anomalisa'
'Boy & the World'
'Inside Out' - winner!
'Shaun the Sheep Movie'
'When Marnie Was There'

Will Win:  'Inside Out'

Dark Horse:  'Boy & the World'
Should Win:  'Inside Out'
Should Have Been Here:  -

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FEATURE

'Embrace of the Serpent' (Colombia)
'A War' (Denmark)
'Mustang' (France/Turkey)
'Son of Saul' (Hungary) - winner!
'Theeb' (Jordan)

Will Win:  'Son of Saul'

Dark Horse:  'Mustang'
Should Win:  'Son of Saul'
Should Have Been Here:  'The Assassin' (Taiwan) or 'Taxi Tehran' (Iran) 

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

'Amy' - winner!
'Cartel Land'
'The Look of Silence'
'What Happened, Miss Simone?'
'Winter on Fire: Ukraine's Fight for Freedom'

Will Win:  'Amy'

Dark Horse:  'Cartel Land'
Should Win:  'The Look of Silence'
Should Have Been Here: -

Thursday, February 25, 2016

Contest: HAIL CAESAR! (PG)

Stand a chance to win a pair of preview tickets to the latest Coen Brothers picture - HAIL CAESAR!

Screening Details:
Date:  Wed 9 Mar
Time:  From 7pm
Venue:  The Cathay @ Handy Road
(Nearest MRT: Dhoby Ghaut)



Instructions:
1.  Answer the following: Name one other feature directed by the Coens.

2.  Email to eternalitytan@gmail.com with the subject header 'Joel & Ethan', your answer, name, NRIC and mobile no. by Friday 4 March, 11:59pm.  Only winners will be notified by email.  Please participate only if you can attend the screening that evening.

Release date: Opens 10 March in theatres
Rating: PG













Prizes are courtesy of United International Pictures Singapore.